Can Cardano Ever Overtake Ethereum? Serious Analysis

Picture showing Cardano (ADA) coin

As of mid-2025, Ethereum remains the second-largest blockchain by market value, fueling decentralized finance platforms, NFTs, and over 5000 decentralized applications. Its influence spans nearly every sector in the blockchain space. But another project – Cardano – is beginning to stand out. 

Launched by Charles Hoskinson, one of Ethereum’s original founders, Cardano is based on a different philosophy: peer-reviewed development and modular structure. While Ethereum is still in a considerable lead, Cardano is growing in influence, developer activity, and institutional interest. The comparison is now more relevant than ever, as both platforms aim for scalability and real-world impact.

Ethereum’s 99% Energy Drop

Ethereum’s transition to proof-of-stake in September 2022 marked a significant milestone. Energy consumption dropped by around 99%, and the network switched to an account-based model. Every address carries a balance, and transactions update balances directly. While this model simplifies user experience, it often leads to congestion and higher resource demands on the network.

Cardano, on the other hand, uses an Extended Unspent Transaction Output model, or EUTxO. It mirrors the structure used by Bitcoin but has been updated for smart contract support. The architecture separates transaction and computation layers. This improves maintainability and makes it easier to update without risking system-wide issues.

The consensus mechanisms also differ. Ethereum runs a post-Merge PoS system tied closely with its EVM. Cardano employs Ouroboros, a protocol developed from academic research, which was the first PoS system with proven security guarantees.

Ethereum’s Layered Fix vs Cardano’s Built-In Scaling

Ethereum has struggled with throughput limitations for years. The base layer processes about 25 transactions per second. In theoretical terms, it could push that up to around 142 TPS. However, in practical use, gas fees and congestion continue to be frequent complaints. Scaling tools like Arbitrum and Optimism aim to help, but adoption varies, and complexity increases.

Cardano’s block time sits around 20 seconds. Unlike Ethereum, it does not depend on additional layers to stay affordable. The Hydra protocol, still rolling out, could allow up to 1,000 TPS per head, which makes it promising for scaling in future use cases. Since the user base is smaller, the network is less congested, and fees remain predictable.

This difference in transaction speed and cost provides Cardano with a more stable base for large-scale financial operations, especially in places where affordability is critical.

Ethereum’s Established Ecosystem – More Apps, Tools, and TVL

Ethereum currently supports the largest collection of DeFi applications, NFT platforms, and development tools. Its Ethereum Virtual Machine and Solidity language are familiar to most developers in the blockchain world. Years of development have created a strong foundation and support network.

Cardano, while newer, has begun making measurable progress. The 2021 Alonzo hard fork introduced smart contracts, using Plutus and Marlowe languages based on Haskell. The network has entered into partnerships that range from Ethiopian educational systems to supply chain pilots with Dish Network and New Balance.

In June 2025, Cardano overtook Ethereum in core developer activity, according to multiple analytics sources. This marks a shift in momentum, though Ethereum still leads in deployed applications and total value locked.

Ethereum’s Costly Flaws – Millions Lost to Smart Contract Exploits

Security has been a consistent issue across decentralized systems. Ethereum has seen its share of exploits, some resulting in millions of dollars in losses. These are often tied to smart contracts that lack proper validation or encounter bugs in logic.

Cardano’s approach to safety is different. Its use of Haskell and reliance on formal verification make the network harder to exploit. This focus on mathematical proofing instead of reactive patching reduces vulnerabilities. A common sentiment among community members echoes this difference. One user noted:

“Tokens and NFTs don’t need smart contracts on Cardano… Consequently, there are barely any hacks on Cardano…”

The contrast shows that while Ethereum may attract more users and developers, it also brings more risk. Cardano’s slower pace, in this case, may result in a stronger base for high-stakes applications.

Cardano’s Institutional Surge vs Ethereum’s Midlife Uncertainty

Cardano has drawn attention from major institutions in recent months. Grayscale applied for a spot ADA ETF, which boosted market interest. 

ADA prices rose 50% after 3 weeks of filing, signaling strong sentiment from large investors. There are also growing government partnerships, especially in countries where blockchain could support recordkeeping and identity systems.

Ethereum, despite price drops of nearly 28% earlier in 2025, continues to anchor the DeFi and NFT segments. Long-term investors still favor it due to its established presence and developer tools. But critics have described Ethereum’s position as a “midlife crisis”, as platforms like Cardano and Solana close the gap in performance and features.

Looking Forward

In the short run – over the next one to three years – Ethereum’s larger ecosystem gives it an upper hand. But over the long term, the story might shift. If Cardano succeeds in scaling Hydra and keeps building on real-world adoption, the equation could change. A long-term estimate from Charles Hoskinson suggests that Cardano may match or surpass Ethereum after 2030. This timeline highlights the patient, research-led approach the project takes.

Kashif Saleem

Kashif Saleem